This Tuesday´s Financial Report from La Prensa got me thinking about how Panama is working out to survive the world economic crisis. As said before, while we don´t think it won´t hit, we believe it is the right place to wait out the storm. Here are some excerpts, analysis and comments.
With a
diversified economy and a strong, conservative, banking system, Panama is on
the move to protect the country as much as possible from the current economic
crisis. For the last three years, Panama positioned itself as one of the fastest
growing economies in the region, with numbers as far as 10% a growth reached
only by countries such as China.
Worldwide,
this year has been very different for everyone. But Panama’s advantage over the region
may survive based on its diversified economy and mega projects that are being
fueled by the government to support the system while times get tougher.
On the big
scheme, as reporter Yolanda Sandoval from La Prensa notes in her last article
“Liquid Transfusion: in the hands of Multilateral Agencies”, last
December, the ACP (Canal Authority of
Panama) signed credit with five multilateral agencies for over two thousand
million dollars to finance the Panama Canal Expansion. This mega project is
already gaining momentum, and is expected to employ most of the construction
workers that may be laid off from the real estate industry. From our experience, even in
real estate, niches such as Panama’s
colonial town Casco Viejo (a UNESCO protected World Heritage site also known as
Casco Antiguo) are still thriving. Hotels are being built; projects are being
completed and delivered. Every commercial space seems rented and there is
demand for more. Investors are attracted by the limited supply of unique real
estate and the influx of tourism, as one of Panama’s most visited sites.
Panamanian
banks are also being proactive. The World Bank has approved a loan for 500
million dollars to finance a program called Liquidity Program for Sustained
Growth. This financing will be part of a stimulus package that the Panamanian
Government has announced as a first front to counter the effects of the
crisis. The Government package includes
1,110 million dollars to incentive credit to investments.
Private Banks
have also gone out to lobby funding. Global Bank got a credit line through the
World Bank and IFC. About 25 million dollars will be earmarked for micro and
middle size companies. Banco General,
one of Panama’s
leading banks, received financing from the World Bank for 80 million dollars to
support the growth of their long term clients, especially mortgages.
The article
also points out that as competition for money gets harder, the region will be
competing with Asia, Europe, and the United States; international
financial institutions will consider seriously how governments have preserved
their social policies. Being actively
involved in commercial exchange will be a big positive point. Because of its geographic location and
facilities, several international agencies are already setting headquarters in Panama which
will benefit the country when applying for funds. The General Secretary of
Iberoamerica (Secretaria General de Iberoamerica) inaugurated their branch and
next May the International Monetary Fund will have a new Regional
Center for Technical Assistance to Central America, Panama
and Dominican Republic.
The biggest
threats for the region are unemployment and deceleration. But as Enrique
Iglesias current Secretary General for Iberoamerica said in his interview to La
Prensa, “the fundamental piece is the recovery of banks”. At least here, Panama seems to
be an easier case.